SUNNY, COOL FEBRUARY DAY: With sunshine in full supply, temperatures are generally in the upper 40s and low 50s across north and central Alabama this afternoon; it is colder over the Tennessee Valley of far north Alabama, where some places are struggling to get out of the 30s.
RAIN RETURNS: Clouds move into the state tonight, and they should keep temperatures above freezing. Tomorrow will be a cloudy but comfortable day; many places will see low 60s by afternoon. Showers are possible during the afternoon, but the rain becomes more widespread Tuesday night and Wednesday ahead of a slow-moving front. This looks like another good soaking for the state, with amounts of 1 to 2 inches likely. We can’t rule out a strong storm at some point, but the instability looks very limited, and wind fields are not impressive. The Storm Prediction Center, for now, has not outlooked any severe storms for Wednesday. Rain will end from west to east Wednesday evening.
THURSDAY/FRIDAY: These two days will be dry with a partly to mostly sunny sky; the high Thursday will be in the mid 50s, followed by mid 60s Friday. Clouds thicken Friday night ahead of the next wave approaching from the west.
WET WEEKEND: Saturday will be a mostly cloudy, mild day with developing rain showers by afternoon. Rain and a few thunderstorms are likely Saturday night into Sunday, and again we expect beneficial rain amounts; totals of 1 to 2 inches are a good bet. We will keep an eye on future model runs, but at the moment it doesn’t look like a severe weather setup for Alabama. The high Saturday and Sunday will be in the 60s.
NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday will trend drier, although global models now hint there could be enough moisture around for a few scattered showers. The week will feature pleasant temperatures, with highs in the 60s on several days.
ON THIS DATE IN 2008: A total of 87 tornadoes occurred over the course of the “Super Tuesday” tornado outbreak, which lasted more than 15 hours from the afternoon of Feb. 5 until the early morning of Feb. 6. The storm system produced several destructive tornadoes in heavily populated areas, most notably in the Memphis metropolitan area, in Jackson, Tennessee, and the northeastern end of the Nashville metropolitan area. In Alabama, an EF-4 tornado moved through parts of Lawrence and Morgan counties, killing three people near Moulton during the pre-dawn hours of Feb. 6. Another EF-4 moved through the Rosalie and Pisgah communities, killing one person there.
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