WATCHING THE GULF: A broad low in the northeast Gulf of Mexico is drifting northward, and will push deeper moisture up into Alabama in coming days. Odds are fairly low (30 percent) this becomes a tropical or subtropical storm, but the impact will be same one way or another — higher rain chances for the Southeast this week and into the weekend.
TODAY: The sky will be partly sunny today, and we will forecast “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms,” words you hear just about daily in summer. The chance of any one spot seeing a shower this afternoon is about 1 in 3, and the weather won’t be as hot as yesterday. Most places will see a high between 87 and 90 degrees this afternoon.
REST OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND: The weather will be basically the same tomorrow through Sunday — more clouds than sun, and a chance of showers and thunderstorms daily. Heat levels will be lower, with highs mostly in the low to mid 80s.
We have many important outdoor events ahead, including high school graduations, the Regions Tradition at Greystone, the Hangout Music Festival at Gulf Shores and Do Dah Day in Birmingham. For all of these events, here are some important weather points:
- Rain is possible at times daily, along with some thunder.
- Severe storms are not expected.
- The rain won’t be continuous; there will be good breaks between showers, and the sun should be out at times.
- The best chance of showers will come during the afternoon and evening, but we can’t rule out a late-night or morning shower as deep moisture will be in place.
- It is impossible to give the specific start/stop times of the showers for any given point; they will tend to be rather random.
- Afternoon highs will be generally in the 82- to 85-degree range, right at seasonal levels for mid to late May in Alabama.
- If you hear thunder, GET INDOORS. Lightning is frightening; don’t risk it.
NEXT WEEK: Showers should thin out as the upper ridge redevelops and heat levels creep up a bit.
YESTERDAY’S HEAT: Highs across Alabama yesterday included:
- Mobile — 97
- Evergreen — 97
- Tuscaloosa — 96
- Huntsville — 95
- Montgomery — 95
- Muscle Shoals — 94
- Birmingham — 93
- Anniston — 92
New daily record highs were established at most reporting stations for May 14. There’s a very good chance it will be the hottest day of the month, as we expect mostly 80s for the next 15 days.
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